NC stronger in Nidhi's constituency

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Nepali Congress (NC) leader Bimalendra Nidhi bagged Dhanusha-3 in the second Constituent Assembly (CA) election in 2013 as the party won five out of seven seats in the district.

The party had won three seats in the district even in the first CA election in 2008 when it had performed badly across the country.

There will be just four constituencies in the district, down from seven in the two CA elections, in the upcoming parliamentary election. Nidhi will contest from Dhanusha-3 even this time with the party unanimously recommending his name from there.

NC was strong even in the recent local election in this constituency that includes 18 wards (1-12, 15, 16, 20, and 23-25) of Janakpur Sub Metropolitan City, ward No 1 of Videha municipality, Nagarain municipality, and Dhanauji and Mukhiyapatti Musaharmiya rural municipalities.

Rastriya Janata Party (RJP) Nepal had received 10,424 votes in those 18 wards of Janakpur while NC was second with 8,965. RJP candidates had been elected ward chairman in 10 of those wards, NC's in seven and an independent in the other. Other parties trail far behind the two parties in these wards with CPN-UML a distant third with 2,705 followed by Federal Socialist Forum Nepal (FSFN) at 1,029.

There are another 21 wards of two municipalities and two rural municipalities in Dhanusha-3. RJP trails NC by a big margin in these wards outside Janakpur Submetropolitan City where CPN-UML is the main competitor. NC candidates won ward chairman in eight of these 21 wards, UML's in nine, independent in two, and RJP and FSFN in one each.

NC had received 10,226 votes out of the valid 29,671 in these 21 wards outside the submetropolis while UML received 9,707. RJP received just 2,646 votes in these wards.

NC, in this way, received 20,248 votes out of the 60,135 valid votes cast in the constituency. RJP was second with 13,303 and UML third at 12,412. FSFN, that has decided to ally with RJP, had received 3,675 votes in the constituency. NC will have a lead of 3,271 even when votes of the two parties are added.

CPN (Maoist Center), that has forged left alliance with UML, had received 2,168 votes. The two parties received a total of 14,580 votes combined which is almost 6,000 lower than that of NC.

Analysis of the votes received in the recent local election shows NC is stronger than the alliance of UML and Maoist Center, and RJP and FSFN.

RJP and UML must ally to beat Nidhi in this constituency which does not seem feasible in the current political scenario.

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